Shiite leader Muqtada al-Sadr, who commands a militia that violently opposed the US occupation of Iraq is set to have candidates on his ticket see a dominating election win. Candidates in al-Sadr's Sairoon coalition have won in 10 of Iraq's 18 provinces and the city of Baghdad which allocates a majority of parliament's 329 seats.

Incumbent Prime Minister Abadi’s coalition, favored by the United States and forecasted to win, is third place overall and fifth place in the capital. As the proxy war in Syria continues to rage, this Iraqi power shift towards alignment with Iran is not favorable to Israel and the United States.